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IMF Maintains 2.5% Growth Forecast for Bulgarian Economy


Bulgaria’s economic growth is expected to slow to 2.5% in 2025, down from 2.8% in the previous year, according to the spring edition of the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) World Economic Outlook, titled “Policy Uncertainty Tests Global Resilience.”

The report primarily focuses on the shifting landscape of global trade policy following the introduction of new, higher tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump and the subsequent developments.

The IMF has maintained its previous forecast for Bulgaria, which was issued in October 2024.

This comes against the backdrop of a downward revision of global economic growth to 2.8%, down from 3.3% forecast in January.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva warned of this slowdown last week, although she emphasized that she does not expect a global recession.